ECO220Y1Y: Quantitative Methods in Economics, 2017/18, Prof. Murdock

L0301: Wed 11-1, KP 108; L0401: Wed 2-4, SS 2117; L0501: Tues 2-4, SS 2135

All three sections have Fridays 9-11 reserved for tests, tutorials, and other events

Syllabus

Portal

Schedule: slides, readings, HW, tutorials, tests

Office hours with Prof. Murdock: Completed

Piazza

Aid sheets (for entire course)

Help from our TAs

The Data Analysis Course Module (DACM) on portal

Old tests/exams

Final Exam Bulletin Board

 

Last updated: May 4, 2018


ANNOUNCEMENTS:

 

CLOSING COMMENTS: The class ended strong with a good showing on the cumulative final examination. Particularly inspiring are those who submitted their best work on the final exam, demonstrating intense preparation and ultimate mastery of many important course concepts. For more on the final exam and course grades, see the Final Exam Bulletin Board (making sure to hit refresh in your browser). For those of you considering continuing your studies along the lines of ECO220Y, here are some recommendations:

·        You can see the summer 2018 ECO course offerings. This summer, ECO375H1S “Applied Econometrics 1” is offered by Professor Burda. He also taught it last summer (and many times during the regular academic year) so you can get a sense of the course from last summer’s syllabus and the August 2017 final exam (you need to log in to the Old Exams Repository using your UTORid). Generally, I find it is helpful to look at previous year’s syllabi (see the drop-down menu under courses on the Economics Department’s course offering page) and old exams when trying to figure out if a course is right for you. Here is the calendar entry for ECO375H.

·        If you have enjoyed seeing the methods we have learned being used in research and would like to study more, but are maybe a bit nervous about a full-on econometrics course, I would encourage you to think about ECO372H, “Applied Regression Analysis and Empirical Papers.” We first offered it in 2016/17 under the course number ECO351H. Students liked it and we added it as a permanent course: ECO372H. While it is not offered in Summer 2018, it will be in 2018/19: details will be posted here. Here is the calendar entry for ECO372H. It is meant as the next step after ECO220Y (for those interested in any further steps!).

·        Also, a number of 300 and 400 level courses use empirical research too. At the higher levels, course content is heavily influenced by the particular professor teaching the course. You can use the tips above to check out syllabi and old exams for particular professors once the 2018/19 course offerings and instructors are posted (here).

[posted May 4]

 

TERM WORK MARKS & Test #5 Marks: On portal (My Grades) you can now view your complete term work marks, which are computed as explained in the syllabus. Also, an e-mail was sent from Crowdmark to your utoronto.ca e-mail account on Wednesday, April 11 around 11:48am with your marked Term Test #5 and a message to the class. If you did not write Test #5, it is a great idea to work through that test as practice: see Old tests/exams. Also, if you wrote the test but struggled with some of it, you can still use Test #5 for practice. To make the most of it, do not look at the solutions.  [posted April 11]

 

office hours and TA aid centres: There are TA Aid Centres during the final exam period: for details, see the portal announcement. Professor Murdock has office hours from 2:00 to 4:00 on Thursday, April 12 and Thursday, April 19. (Our TA Aly’s weekly office hours are complete.) [posted April 11]

 

final exam bulletin board: See the Final Exam Bulletin Board for more information about the April 2018 final exam for ECO220Y1Y. [posted March 26]

 

TEst #5: Because Test #5 was an open make-up (not required) some students elected to skip writing it, which is fine. However, it is a great idea to work through that test as practice: see Old tests/exams. (Also, if you wrote the test but feel like you didn’t answer all questions well, you can still use Test #5 for practice.) To make the most of it, do not look at the solutions. (To give the right message, the solutions are not yet posted.) [posted April 9]

 

TERM WORK MARKS: Complete term work marks will be posted on portal after Test #5 marking is complete, which should be by the end of this week. There will be no surprises: the weights and marking scheme are as explained in the syllabus. [posted April 9]

 

office hours and TA aid centres: Our TA Aly’s last weekly office hours are on Monday, April 2, 3:00-4:00 in GE 040. Remember that there are TA Aid Centres in the days leading up to Test #5: details on in a portal announcement. Also, there are TA Aid Centres during the final exam period: details also posted in a portal announcement. Professor Murdock will not have office hours on Thursday, April 5 (because we have a term test that morning), but I will have office hours from 2:00 to 4:00 on Thursday, April 12 and Thursday, April 19. [posted March 30]

 

course evaluations: Please take some time to complete a course evaluation for ECO220Y. The deadline is midnight on Sunday (April 8). [posted April 5]

 

SOME ADVICE FOR TEST #5: Here are a few specific pieces of advice as you prepare for Term Test #5:

·         Make sure you have worked through DACM Modules E.1 through E.3, including the practice test questions for Module E.

·         Make sure you are expert on both dummy variables and interaction terms (many questions require fluency with these topics).

·         While you certainly need to be expert on logarithms in regression analysis, there are no questions specifically about the “Asiaphoria” case study.

·         There are questions about the Waterloo salary case study.

[posted March 30]

 

term test #5: Our fifth term test is on Thursday, April 5 from 9:10am through 11am. Term Test #5 will consist of open-ended questions (not multiple-choice) and will focus on material from weeks 4 – 6 and 17 – 24 (Lectures 4 – 6, 17 – 24, HW 4 – 6, 17 – 23, Chapters 6 – 7, 14, 18 – 21 of the textbook, “Waterloo 2016 Salary Disparities” & “Quadratic terms” in Readings folder in portal, and Portal Quizzes 4 – 6, 17 – 22), including “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria and including DACM Modules E.1, E.2 and E.3. Our TAs are running TA Aid Centres to help answer your questions (these are in addition to the usual weekly office hours). The TA Aid Centres start on Thursday, March 29: see the portal announcement for details. [posted March 26]

 

TEST #5, OLD TEST QUESTIONS: Below are some suggested old test questions. Remember to use solutions only to grade your own complete answers: peeking at solutions eliminates most of the value of looking at an old test question.

·         Test #1: Oct 2017: Question 5;

·         Test #2: Nov 2017: Questions 1, 4, and 6;

·         Test #4: Mar 2018: Questions 1, 2(a) – (d), 4, 6;

·         Test #4: Mar 2017: entire test;

·         Test #4: Mar 2016: entire test;

·         Test #5: Apr 2016: entire test;

·         Test #5 “MCQ”: Mar 2015: entire test;

·         Term Test #3: Apr 2014: entire test

You can find the above tests and the solutions posted under Old tests/exams. [posted March 26]

 

TEST #5, LOGISTICS: Test #5 is on Thursday, April 5 from 9:10am – 11:00am. Arrive at your test room, within the Exam Centre, by 9:00am at the latest to ensure you have the full time to write the test. Rooms are assigned by last name:

·         EX 200: Last names A through R;

·         EX 310: Last names S through Wong;

·         EX 300: Last names Wu through Z.

You may bring your bags and coats to your seat BUT they have to be closed and all electronic devices including cell phones must be turned OFF. Remember to bring:

·         PENCILS and ERASERS;

·         A non-programmable calculator;

·         Your UofT TCard (student id card).

Your test papers must stay face-up and closed on your desk until the start of the test is announced. [posted March 26]

 

Term test #5: Given the number of queries about Term Test #5, I’ll make a preliminary announcement about coverage much earlier than usual. Term Test #5 will focus on regression analysis (simple and multiple) and the related topic of differences between means. Hence, the emphasis will be on material from weeks 4 – 6 and weeks 17 – 24. As usual, we build on other topics, but Term Test #5 will not be cumulative in the sense that the final exam is cumulative. For now, please focus your attention on our weekly materials (homework, readings, DACM tutorials, portal quizzes, and lectures). Full announcements about Test #5 (including old test questions) will be posted, as usual, when the test date is nearer. There have also been some questions about the marking scheme as it relates to Term Test #5, but the syllabus directly answers those questions: make sure to see the top half of page 4 and the bottom of page 6 through the top of page 7. [posted March 13]

 

Final exam: The date, time and location of our final exam has been set by A&S: Wednesday, April 25, 9:00am – noon. [posted March 2]

 

Economics study centre: The Economics Study Centre is now open. It is located on the main floor of the Economics Department, 150 St George Street, and has extensive hours. On Mondays through Thursdays it is open from 11am through 5pm and on Fridays it is open from 1pm through 3pm. We have an impressive team of Peer Mentors for ECO220Y1Y, including the only student to get a grade of 100 (!) in our course in more than a decade! In alphabetical order by last name, these are the Peer Mentors who specifically took ECO220Y1Y with me:

·         Emilie Heron

·         Gulru Inan

·         Zachary Kroll

·         Arvind Kulathu

·         Yu Mao

·         Paul Pavel

·         Saarah Sheikh

·         Justin Yau

·         Xiaotian Zhang

Further, I have met or worked with several of the other Peer Mentors (who I do not know from ECO220Y) and I would also recommend them. You can see the full schedule. Also, I have provided the Economics Study Centre with a copy of our textbook. [posted September 18]

 

DACM Module E online test: A reminder that the DACM Module E Online Test opens at 6:00pm on Tuesday, March 27 and is due by 6:00pm on Monday, April 2. [posted March 23]

 

Portal quiz 22: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 22 will be due on Monday, March 26 at 6:00pm as usual. Note that this is the last weekly portal quiz for the course. [posted March 19]

 

test #4 results: An e-mail was sent from Crowdmark to your utoronto.ca e-mail account on Thursday, March 8 around 10:05am with your marked Term Test #4 and a message to the class. The message links to the test and solutions, which are also posted below under Old tests/exams. [posted March 8]

 

dacm module e.3 tutorials on friday, March 23: The DACM Module E.3 tutorials are on Friday morning (see p. 6 of the DACM Handbook for rooms and times for all six sections). Carefully review pages 100 - 101 of the DACM Handbook ahead of your tutorial. Ideally, also read through pages 102 – 104 ahead of time. [posted March 16]

 

Portal quiz 21: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 21 will be due on Monday, March 19 at 6:00pm as usual. [posted March 12]

 

dacm module e.2 tutorials on friday, March 16: The DACM Module E.2 tutorials are on Friday morning (see p. 6 of the DACM Handbook for rooms and times for all six sections). Carefully review pages 96 - 97 of the DACM Handbook ahead of your tutorial. Ideally, also read through pages 98 - 99 ahead of time. [posted March 9]

 

Portal quiz 20: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 20 will be due on Monday, March 12 at 6:00pm as usual. [posted March 5]

 

dacm module e.1 tutorials on friday: The DACM Module E.1 tutorials are on Friday morning (see p. 6 of the DACM Handbook for rooms and times for all six sections).Carefully review pages 91 - 93 of the DACM Handbook ahead of your tutorial. Ideally, also read through pages 94 - 95 ahead of time. [posted March 5]

 

Portal quiz 19: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 19 will be due on Monday, March 5 at 6:00pm as usual. [posted February 27]

 

term test #4, First page, supplement: Here is the first page of Test #4: please review the instructions ahead of time. Also, as any FYI, here are the first four pages of the supplement for Test #4: you will be given a complete copy of the supplement at the test. [posted February 27]

 

TA aid centres: For the TA Aid Centres running right after Reading Week, find the details posted as a portal announcement. [posted February 16]

 

SOME ADVICE FOR TEST #4: Here are a few specific pieces of advice as you prepare for Term Test #4:

·         Make sure you carefully study “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria including the associated homework and the closely related DACM Modules B.2 and B.3.

·         Make sure you understand the concepts of statistical significance (and at which significance levels) and economic significance. These concepts are covered extensively in our course materials (e.g. Lecture 14). Note that one of the two has to do with point estimates and the other also involves standard errors.

·         Make sure you are skilled at identifying an appropriate approach to a question: should you just look at a point estimate, should you compute a CI estimate, should you be thinking about hypothesis testing. Similarly, make sure you can distinguish situations that call for making an inference about: a single proportion, the difference between proportions, a single mean, the difference between means with independent samples, or the difference between means with paired data. Notice how we’ve practiced these skills by applying course concepts to real research and tables of results.

[posted February 16]

 

term test #4: Our fourth term test is on Friday, March 2 from 9:10am through 11am. Term Test #4 will consist of open-ended questions (not multiple-choice) and will focus on material from weeks 5 – 6 and 12 – 18 (Lectures 5, 6, 12 – 18, HW 5, 6, 12 – 18, Chapters 7, 11 – 14 and Sections 18.1 – 18.2 of the textbook, and Portal Quizzes 5, 6, 12 – 18), including “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria, including “The Normal Table: Read It, Use It,” and including DACM Modules B.2, B.3, C.2, D.1 and D.2. Also, the material from Sections 9.1 – 9.3 on random variables and variances and the first half of Lecture 8 (Slides 1 – 9) are specifically referenced in later material and you still need to know them. Term Test #4 will not include new material from Lecture 19 and HW 19. Also, our course TAs will be running TA Aid Centres (team office hours) to help answer your questions (these are in addition to the usual weekly office hours). The TA Aid Centres start on Friday, February 16: see the portal announcement for details. [posted February 12]

 

TEST #4, OLD TEST QUESTIONS: Below are some suggested old test questions. Remember to use solutions only to grade your own complete answers: peeking at solutions eliminates most of the value of looking at an old test question.

·         Test #1: Oct 2017: Question 5;

·         Test #2: Nov 2017: Questions 1, 4, and 6;

·         Test #3: Jan 2018: Questions 2, 4, and 5;

·         Test #1: Nov 2016: Questions 1 and 6;

·         Test #2: Jan 2017: Questions 3 and 5;

·         Test #3: Feb 2017: Entire test;

·         Test #2: Dec 2015: Questions 1, 2, and 4;

·         Test #3: Feb 2016: Questions 2, 3, 4, and 5;

·         Test #4: Mar 2016: Questions 1, 3, and 4; NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;    

·         Test #2: June 26, 2015: Questions 1, 3, and 4;

·         Test #3 “Midterm”: Jan 2015: Questions 2, 3, 4, and 5;

·         Test #4 “One Question”: Feb 2015: Entire test;

·         Test #5 “MCQ”: Mar 2015: Questions 1 – 4, 6, 8, 9, 15, 16; NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;

·         Term Test #2: Jan 2014: Questions 1, 2, 3, 5;

·         One Question Test #2: Feb 2014: Entire test;

·         Term Test #3: Apr 2014: Questions 1 – 9, 15, 16, 24, 32; NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;

You can find the above tests and the solutions posted under Old tests/exams. [posted February 12]

 

TEST #4, LOGISTICS: Test #4 is on Friday, March 2 from 9:10am – 11:00am. Arrive at your test room, within the Exam Centre, by 9:00am at the latest to ensure you have the full time to write the test. Rooms are assigned by last name:

·         EX 100: Last names A through R;

·         EX 310: Last names S through Wong;

·         EX 320: Last names Wu through Z.

You may bring your bags and coats to your seat BUT they have to be closed and all electronic devices including cell phones must be turned OFF. Remember to bring:

·         PENCILS and ERASERS;

·         A non-programmable calculator;

·         Your UofT TCard (student id card).

Your test papers must stay face-up and closed on your desk until the start of the test is announced. [posted February 12]

 

DACM Module D online test: A reminder that the DACM Module D Online Test opens at 6:00pm on Tuesday, February 13 and is due by 6:00pm on Monday, February 26. [updated February 12]

 

TA office hours: Our TA Aly continues to have weekly office hours on Mondays, 3-4pm in GE 040 (basement level of 150 St George). For Reading Week, because Monday is a holiday, he will have office hours from 2:00 – 3:00pm on Thursday, Feb. 22 in GE 313. [posted February 7]

 

bonus portal quiz 18: A Bonus Portal Quiz 18 will open at noon on Friday, February 16 and will be due by noon on Friday, February 23, which is during Reading Week. The Bonus Portal Quiz 18 is not required. However, it can replace your lowest portal quiz mark so far (i.e. on portal quizzes 1 – 17). Completing the Bonus Portal Quiz 18 cannot hurt your mark: if you do worse on it than any previous portal quiz it does not replace a higher mark. Also, Term Test #4 will include the material in week 18 so completing the Bonus Portal Quiz 18 is good preparation. [posted February 6]

 

TA aid centres: The next batch of TA Aid Centres start on Friday, February 16: 9:10 – 11am in SS 2135 with TAs Elaine and Ruizhi; 10:10 – 11am in SS 2117 with TAs Louis and Nora. Additional TA Aid Centres will be held after Reading Week (with details posted as a portal announcement). [posted February 9]

 

Portal quiz 17: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 17 will be due on Monday, February 12 at 6:00pm as usual. [posted February 6]

 

DACM Module D.2: Your DACM Module D.2 tutorials are on Friday morning, February 9. Do at least a quick read of the entire Module D.2 – pages 80 – 84 in the DACM Handbook – before Friday’s tutorial. Carefully read pages 80 through top of page 81 before the tutorial. [posted February 5]

 

DACM Module D: Your first TA tutorials for DACM Module D are on Friday morning, February 2. Do at least a quick read of the entire Module D.1 – pages 76 – 79 in the DACM Handbook – before Friday’s tutorial. Carefully read pages 76 through top of page 77 before the tutorial. [posted January 25]

 

portal quiz 16: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 16 is due on Monday, February 5 by 6:00pm. [posted February 1]

 

test #3 results: An e-mail was sent from Crowdmark to your utoronto.ca e-mail account on Thursday, January 25 around 2:56pm with your marked Term Test #3 and a message to the class. The message links to the test and solutions, which are also posted below under Old tests/exams. [posted January 25]

 

portal quiz 15: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 15 is due on Monday, January 29 by 6:00pm. [posted January 25]

 

ta tutorial: On Friday, January 26 you have a regular 50-minute TA tutorial (i.e. not a DACM tutorial) titled “Hypothesis testing review of rejection region approach and power.” L0301: 9:10 – 10am SS 2117 (TA Aly); L0401: 10:10 – 11am SS 2117 (TA Aly); L0501: 10:10 – 11am SS 2135 (TA Elaine) [posted January 16]

 

office hours: On Thursday, January 25th my office hours are 3:00 – 5:00pm. They will return to their usual time (2:00 – 4:00) the following week. [posted January 22]

 

portal quiz 13/14: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 13/14 is due on Monday, January 22 by 6:00pm. [posted January 16]

 

term test #3, First page, supplement: Here is the first page of Test #3: please review the instructions ahead of time. Also, as any FYI, here are the first two pages of the supplement for Test #3: you will be given a complete copy of the supplement at the test. [posted January 16]

 

DACM MODULE C ONLINE TEST RESULTS: Your graded replies to the DACM Module C online test are available on the DACM portal site. [posted January 16]

 

TEST #3, LOGISTICS: Test #3 is on Friday, January 19 from 9:10am – 11:00am. Arrive at your test room, within the Exam Centre, by 9:00am at the latest to ensure you have the full time to write the test. Rooms are assigned by last name:

·         EX 100: Last names A through R;

·         EX 310: Last names S through Wong;

·         EX 320: Last names Wu through Z.

You may bring your bags and coats to your seat BUT they have to be closed and all electronic devices including cell phones must be turned OFF. Remember to bring:

·         PENCILS and ERASERS;

·         A non-programmable calculator;

·         Your UofT TCard (student id card).

Your test papers must stay face-up and closed on your desk until the start of the test is announced. [posted January 9]

 

SOME ADVICE FOR TEST #3: Here are a few specific pieces of advice as you prepare for Term Test #3:

·         Be highly proficient with the material from Week 13 (including Lecture 13, HW 13, and readings). This INCLUDES preparing for Lecture 14, in other words read Sections 12.4 – 12.8 before class, and being attentive in Lecture 14. By studying the Week 14 material, you will understand the Week 13 material better.

·         Make sure you have reviewed the selected old test questions (below) from your Test #1 and Test #2 this year.

·         Carefully review your notes from Lecture 8 and Lecture 9.

[posted January 13]

 

term test #3: Our third term test is on Friday, January 19 from 9:10am through 11am. Term Test #3 will consist of open-ended questions (not multiple-choice) and will focus on material from weeks 7 through 13 (Lectures 7 – 13, HW 7 – 13, Chapter 8 through Section 12.3 of the textbook, and Portal Quizzes 7 – 12), and including “The Normal Table: Read It, Use It,” and including DACM Module A and Module C. Notice that Test #3 will NOT be about DACM Module B and will NOT be about Asiaphoria or regression analysis. (You will have more chances with those materials on future tests and exams.) Also, Term Test #3 will not include new material from Lecture 14 and HW 14: however, this course is highly cumulative and there will be EXTENSIVE COVERAGE of topics from earlier weeks in Lecture 14 (i.e. do not skip it). Also, our course TAs will be running TA Aid Centres (team office hours) to help answer your questions (these are in addition to the usual weekly office hours). The TA Aid Centres start on Friday, January 12: see the portal announcement for details. [posted January 9]

 

TEST #3, OLD TEST QUESTIONS: Below are some suggested old test questions. However, make sure you have worked through all of our regular course materials before looking at old tests. Old tests are not good study guides.

·         Test #1: Oct 2017: Questions 2, 4, 5, and 6;

·         Test #2: Nov 2017: Questions 2, 3, and 5;

·         Test #1: Nov 2016: Questions 2, 4, and 5;

·         Test #2: Jan 2017: Questions 1, 2, 4, 5(a), and 5(c); NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;

·         Test #1: Oct 2015: Questions 21 – 29;

·         Test #2: Dec 2015: Questions 1 and 3 – 6;  

·         Test #3: Feb 2016: Questions 1 and 4; NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;

·         Test #2: June 26, 2015: Questions 2 – 5;

·         Test #2 “MCQ”: Nov 2014: Questions 1 – 9, 15 – 35;

·         Test #3 “Midterm”: Jan 2015: Questions 1, 4(c); NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;

·         Term Test #2: Jan 2014: Questions 1, 2(a), 2(c), 4; NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;

·         Midterm Test: Jun. 2013: Questions 1, 2(a), 3, 5 – 7;

·         Term Test #3: Feb 2013: Questions 2(a), 2(b), 4(b); NOTE: I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet;    

You can find the above tests and the solutions posted under Old tests/exams. Remember to use solutions only to grade your own complete answers: peeking at solutions eliminates most of the value of looking at an old test question. [posted January 9]

 

DACM MOdule C online test: The DACM Module C online test opens at 6:00pm on Tuesday, January 9 and is due by 6:00pm on Monday, January 15. Make sure to manage your time and do not leave it until the last day. Also, remember to complete the practice test questions for Module C on pages 65 – 69 of the DACM Handbook (and check your answers on pages 70 – 75). [posted January 9]

 

Fall term marks: You may view your Fall term marks in “MyGrades” in portal. It reports your approximate iClicker mark for the Fall term. Exact iClicker marks can only be computed once the course is complete. The approximate iClicker marks for the Fall term are categorized as: A+, A, A-, B range, C range, D range, Failing. (For examples, if you have “B range” that means your approximate mark is in the 70’s and if you have “A+” that means your approximate mark is at least 90.) If you have a “Failing” mark and you are surprised, make sure that you have registered your iClicker in portal: see “i>Clicker Registration” in the main tool bar. If you properly register before the end of the course, you will receive credit for ALL your work with your iClicker. However, the approximate Fall term iClicker marks will NOT be updated in MyGrades. You can confirm proper registration of your remote by going to “i>Clicker Registration” as mentioned above. See Section 11.1 of the course syllabus for details. Note: Your DACM marks are available in MyGrades on the DACM portal site. [posted December 18]

 

Economics department announcements: There are some announcements on the Economics Department’s website that may be of interest to you. Specifically, news about students from a new 400-level ECO course competing in the prestigious Governor’s Challenge. (If that sounds like something you’d like to do, it is important to start thinking about it now so that you have the necessary prerequisites to be eligible in your fourth year.) Also, there is an announcement from the brand new Toronto Experimental Economics Lab recruiting participants. [posted December 6]

 

DACM Module C.2: Your DACM Module C.2 tutorials are on Friday morning, January 5. Make sure to carefully review Module C.2 – pages 60 – 64 in the DACM Handbook – before the tutorial. Also, a reminder that make-up tutorials are only to be used as an emergency back-up for illness or other valid excuses (not simply being busy with other courses). As always, the full DACM schedule for the year (all tutorials and all online tests) is on page 6 of the DACM Handbook. [posted December 6]

 

Portal Quiz 12: Your next portal quiz – Portal Quiz 12 – opens on Friday, January 5 and is due on Monday, January 8. Remember the entire course schedule for Winter 2018 is posted. [posted December 6]

 

office hours: My final office hours for the Fall term are on Thursday, December 7 from 2-4pm. For the Winter term, my office hours will restart on Thursday, January 11. (Note that I do not have office hours on Thursday, January 4.) Our TA Aly’s office hours are now finished for the Fall term and will restart on Monday, January 8 from 3:00 – 4:00pm in GE 040 in the basement level of the Economics Department, 150 St. George Street. [posted December 6]

 

term test #2 results: An e-mail was sent from Crowdmark to your utoronto.ca e-mail account on Thursday, November 23 around 10:50am with your marked test and a message to the class. The message links to the test and solutions (which are posted below under old tests/exams). [posted November 23]

 

reminders: Remember to bring your iClicker remote to Lecture 12, which is on December 5 and 6. Also, Portal Quiz 11 is due by Monday, December 4 at 6pm. [posted December 1]

 

DACM Module C.2: Your DACM Module C.2 tutorials are on Friday morning, January 5. Make sure to carefully review Module C.2 – pages 60 – 64 in the DACM Handbook – before the tutorial. Also, a reminder that make-up tutorials are only to be used as an emergency back-up for illness or other valid excuses (not simply being busy with other courses). If you will still be travelling for Winter Break on Friday, January 5, make plans to attend one the Tuesday evening sections on December 5. As always, the full DACM schedule for the year (all tutorials and all online tests) is on page 6 of the DACM Handbook. [posted December 1]

 

DACM Module C: Your first TA tutorials for DACM Module C are on Friday morning, December 1. Make sure to carefully review Module C.1 – pages 53 – 59 in the DACM Handbook – before Friday’s tutorial. Also, a reminder that make-up tutorials are only to be used as an emergency back-up. If you will still be travelling for Winter Break for the Module C.2 tutorial on Friday, January 5, make plans to attend one the Tuesday evening sections on December 5. As always, the full DACM schedule for the year (all tutorials and all online tests) is on page 6 of the DACM Handbook. [posted November 26]

 

TA Tutorials: On Friday, you have a regular 50-minute TA tutorial (i.e. not a DACM tutorial) titled “Fully-labelled graphs, Normal approximation to Binomial & sampling distribution of P-hat.”

·         L0301: 9:10 – 10am SS 2117 (TA Aly)

·         L0401: 10:10 – 11am SS 2117 (TA Aly)

·         L0501: 10:10 – 11am SS 2135 (TA Martin)

[posted November 20]

 

portal quiz 8/9: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 8/9 is due on Monday by 6pm. Make sure you’ve not missed the assigned reading an exercises in “The Normal Table: Read It, Use It.” [posted November 17]

 

weekly TA office hours: A reminder that our TA Aly has office hours every Monday from 3:00 – 4:00pm in GE 040 (GE 040 is in the basement level of the Economics Department, 150 St George Street). [posted November 17]

 

term test #2, First page, supplement, advice: Please carefully review the first page of Term Test #2. Also, here is the first page of the supplement for Term Test #2 (which is an excerpt of the aid sheets for the entire course). Finally, here are a few pieces of advice:

·         Compared to Test #1 that you wrote in October, Test #2 has more quantitative analysis, which reflects the material, such as probability.

·         Some questions do still require between one and four sentences to answer (but some require no sentences at all: purely quantitative analysis). Make sure you can interpret OLS results, precisely and clearly. Recall Slide 5 in Lecture 5. Work on writing a single precise sentence that hits all the required elements of an interpretation of an OLS coefficient. Also, there is a lot on interpretation in “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria.”

·         Make sure to read the first page of the test before arriving. It has advice: a key piece of advice being to manage your time and to carefully read what each question is asking. Also, remember the coverage of Test #2 is given in the announcement below “TERM TEST #2:” which is everything covered prior to Reading Week (including the first three weeks of material).

 [posted November 10]

 

TEST #2, OLD TEST QUESTIONS: Below are some suggested old test questions. However, make sure you have worked through all of our regular course materials before looking at old tests. Old tests are not good study guides.

·         Test #1, Nov 2016: entire test;

·         Test #2, Jan 2017: Question 2 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #1, Oct 2015: entire test;

·         Test #2, Dec 2015: Questions 2, 4 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #1, June 5, 2015: Questions 1 – 14, 17 – 35 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #2, June 26, 2015: Question 1 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #1, “One Question”, Oct 2014: entire test;

·         Test #2, Nov 2014: Questions 1 – 7, 10 – 16, 19 – 23 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Term Test #1, Nov 2013: Questions 1 – 13, 15 – 23, 27 – 29 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         One Question Test #1, Nov 2013: entire test;

·         Term Test #1, Jun 2013: entire test;

·         Midterm Test, Jun 2013: Questions 1 – 2, 4 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

some of the above ask you to focus on the listed questions only (i.e. skip some questions on material we have not yet covered in weeks 1 – 8). You can find the above tests and the solutions posted under Old tests/exams. Remember to use solutions only to grade your own complete answers: peeking at solutions eliminates most of the value of looking at an old test question. [updated November 15]

 

term test #2: Our second term test is on Friday, November 17 from 9:10am through 11am. Term Test #2 will consist of open-ended questions (not multiple-choice) and cover material from weeks 1 through 8 (Lectures 1 – 8, HW 1 – 8, all assigned reading, portal quizzes) and including the prerequisite review, SW11, and “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria” and including DACM Module A and DACM Module B. Term Test #2 will not include new material from Lecture 9 and HW 9: however, this course is highly cumulative so there will be topics from earlier weeks in Lecture 9 (i.e. do not skip it). Also, our course TAs will be running TA Aid Centres (team office hours) to help answer your questions (these are in addition to the usual weekly office hours). After Reading Week, the TA Aid Centres start again on Tuesday, November 14. See the portal announcement for all TA Aid Centres. [updated November 8]

 

TEST #2, LOGISTICS: Test #2 is on Friday, November 17 from 9:10am – 11:00am. Arrive at your test room, within the Exam Centre, by 9:00am at the latest to ensure you have the full time to write the test. Rooms are assigned by last name:

·         EX 200: Last names A through R;

·         EX 310: Last names S through Wong;

·         EX 320: Last names Wu through Z.

You may bring your bags and coats to your seat BUT they have to be closed and all electronic devices including cell phones must be turned OFF. Remember to bring:

·         PENCILS and ERASERS;

·         A non-programmable calculator;

·         Your UofT TCard (student id card).

Your test papers must stay face-up and closed on your desk until the start of the test is announced. [posted November 8]

 

DACM MOdule b online test: The DACM Module B online test opens at 6:00pm on Tuesday, October 31 and is due by 6:00pm on Monday, November 13. Make sure to manage your time and do not leave it until the last day. [posted October 31]

 

reading week: Make sure to take advantage of the TA Aid Centres on Friday morning right before reading week. During Reading Week, regular office hours will continue as usual. Please see portal announcements for TA Aid Centres that start right after reading week. [posted October 31]

 

portal quiz 7: A friendly reminder that Portal Quiz 7 is due on Monday by 6pm. [posted October 27]

 

DACM Module B.3: Your TA tutorials for DACM Module B.3 are on Friday morning (October 27). Make sure to carefully review Module B.3 – pages 40 – 41 in the DACM Handbook – before Friday’s tutorial. [posted October 20]

 

term test #1 results: An e-mail was sent from Crowdmark to your utoronto.ca e-mail account on Saturday, October 14 around 12:58pm with your marked test and a message to the class. The message links to the test and solutions (which are posted below under old tests/exams). Also, several students found clerical errors (e.g. marks not adding up). All papers have now been double-checked and any clerical errors fixed. As a separate matter, if you wish to request a remark please see the message at the top of your Crowdmark paper, which reminds you of the course policy. [updated October 18]

 

office hours: Because of an important meeting that I have to attend, I must cancel office hours for Thursday, October 19. As usual, I will continue to be available to stay after lectures and I will continue to monitor Piazza. [posted October 16]

 

remember iclicker and attending other sections: Remember to bring your iClicker remote to class. Also, your iClicker works in any of our three sections. The afternoon sections are quite crowded. However, the section on Wednesdays from 11:10am – 1pm in KP 108 has extra space. Hence, if it works for your schedule, please consider attending on Wednesdays from 11:10am – 1pm in KP 108. [posted September 26]

 

REASONABLE COLLABORATION (AND VIOLATIONS): As discussed in the syllabus, reasonable collaboration with your classmates on iClicker questions and portal quizzes is permitted. Just to make sure you do not compromise you academic integrity, here are examples of unreasonable collaboration activities that would have serious consequences for you and anyone else involved:

·         Not permitted: Bringing someone else’s iClicker remote to class.

·         Not permitted: Asking Peer Mentors at the Economic Study Centre to help you answer your portal quiz questions.

·         Not permitted: Having anyone outside of our course, paid or unpaid, assist you in completing work that you submit to be graded, which includes iClicker questions and portal quizzes.

If you have concerns about your own actions or those of your classmates, please contact me immediately. [posted September 18]

 

DACM Module B: Your first TA tutorials for DACM Module B are on Friday morning (October 13). Make sure to carefully review Module B.1 – pages 31 – 35 in the DACM Handbook – before Friday’s tutorial. Module B (including B.1, B.2, and B.3) are likely to be the most challenging DACM modules for the class, which makes your preparation ahead of these tutorials extra important. Also, a reminder that make-up tutorials are only to be used as an emergency back-up: the first make-up tutorial was overcrowded. Also, especially given the challenging material, it is not in your best interest to leave it to the last minute, go to an overcrowded tutorial, and try to learn all of this under the looming deadline of the DACM Module B online test. [posted October 6]

 

portal quiz 3/4: Remember that you have something due in our course every Monday by 6pm. However, you do not have TWO things due on the same Monday by 6pm. The DACM Module A online test is due Monday, October 2 by 6pm. Your next portal quiz – Portal Quiz 3/4, which covers material from weeks 3 and 4 – is due by Monday, October 9 by 6pm. (Yes, on Thanksgiving. You can submit it earlier if you wish to relax on the long weekend.) Remember, the full schedule for the entire course is posted. [posted September 27]

 

TEST #1, LOGISTICS: Test #1 is on Friday, October 6 from 9:10am – 11:00am. Arrive at your test room, within the Exam Centre, by 9:00am at the latest to ensure you have the full time to write the test. Rooms are assigned by last name:

·         EX 200: Last names A through R;

·         EX 310: Last names S through Wong;

·         EX 320: Last names Wu through Z.

You may bring your bags and coats to your seat BUT they have to be closed and all electronic devices including cell phones must be turned OFF. Remember to bring:

·         PENCILS and ERASERS;

·         A non-programmable calculator;

·         Your UofT TCard (student id card).

Your test papers must stay face-up and closed on your desk until the start of the test is announced. [posted October 3]

 

term test #1, First page and hints: Please carefully review the first page of Term Test #1. Also, here are a few hints:

·         To help you manage the reading required during Term Test #1, I am posting one piece of the supplement here. Please carefully read it ahead of time so that you are ready to answer questions about this case.

·         Know the DACM Module A case studies well.

·         Review any questions you missed on the DACM Module A Online Test.

[posted October 3]

 

TEST #1, OLD TEST QUESTIONS: Below are some suggested old test questions. However, make sure you have worked through all of our regular course materials before looking at old tests. Old tests are not good study guides.

·         Test #1, Nov 2016: Questions 2a, 2b, 3 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #1, Oct 2015: Questions 2 – 10, 28, 30 – 31, 35 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #1, June 5, 2015: Questions 1 – 5, 24 – 27 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Test #2, Nov 2014: Questions 1 – 4, 6, 10 – 11 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Term Test #1, Nov 2013: Questions 1 – 6 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

·         Term Test #1, Jun. 2013: Questions 1 – 6, 8 – 15, 27 – 28 (I exclude questions on material we have not covered yet);

Note that some of the above ask you to focus on the listed questions only (i.e. skip some questions on material we have not yet covered in weeks 1 – 3). You can find the above tests and the solutions posted under Old tests/exams. Remember to use solutions only to grade your own complete answers: peeking at solutions eliminates most of the value of looking at an old test question. [posted September 29]

 

term test #1: Our first term test is on Friday, October 6 from 9:10am through 11am. For now, you are busy working on current course materials (week 3 and DACM) so it is not yet appropriate to post old test questions for review. You should focus on the current materials. I will post old questions at the end of this week/this weekend. Term Test #1 will consist of open-ended questions (not multiple-choice) and cover material from weeks 1 through 3 (Lectures 1 – 3, HW 1 – 3, all assigned reading, portal quizzes) and including the prerequisite review and including DACM Module A. Term Test #1 will not include new material from Lecture 4 and HW 4: however, this course is highly cumulative so there will be topics from earlier weeks in Lecture 4 (i.e. do not skip it). Also, our course TAs will be running TA Aid Centres (team office hours) to help answer your questions (these are in addition to the usual weekly office hours). The first TA Aid Centres are this Friday (September 29): you may stop by SS 2117 between 9am and 11am and/or SS 2135 between 10am and 11am. See portal announcement for all TA Aid Centres. [posted September 26]

 

PIAZZA: Sign up for Piazza: https://piazza.com/utoronto.ca/fall2017/eco220y. There are already some good questions up there. [updated September 15]

 

dacm module a: Now that you have completed Modules A.1 and A.2 in DACM, make sure to work on the practice test questions for Module A, which are on pages 21 – 25 of the DACM Handbook. (If you missed a DACM tutorial, see the calendar on page 6 of the DACM Handbook for the make-up tutorials time/location.) The DACM Module A Online Test window opens at 6pm on Tuesday, September 26 and closes at 6pm on Monday, October 2. Once you click begin, a 60 minute timer starts ticking, so make sure that you are prepared before you start. [posted September 22]

 

TEXTBOOK VENDORS: Note that both the U of T Bookstore and Discount Textbooks are selling our textbook (the brand new 2017 Canadian edition). [posted September 15]

 

Lecture slides and hw posted: For Lecture 3, the readings, lecture slides, and homework are posted on the Fall 2017 Schedule. You may print the lecture slides (black and white is fine): these include blank space for notes. Take notes: slides are not notes. [posted September 22]

 

Portal quiz 2: Our second portal quiz opens on Friday, September 22 at noon and is due by 6pm on Monday, September 25. Do you have questions about the portal quizzes? Start with Section 11.2 of the syllabus and visit the “Portal Quizzes” folder in portal, which contains FAQ’s. [posted September 22]

 

Lecture slides and hw posted: For Lecture 2, the readings, lecture slides, and homework are posted on the Fall 2017 Schedule. You may print the lecture slides (black and white is fine): these include blank space for notes. Take notes: slides are not notes. [posted September 15]

 

portal quiz 1: Our first portal quiz opens on Friday, September 15 at noon and is due by 6pm on Monday, September 18. Do you have questions about the portal quizzes? Start with Section 11.2 of the syllabus and visit the “Portal Quizzes” folder in portal, which contains FAQ’s. [posted September 11]

 

Lecture slides and hw posted: For Lecture 1, the readings, lecture slides, and homework are posted on the Fall 2017 Schedule. You may print the lecture slides (black and white is fine): these include blank space for notes. Take notes: slides are not notes. [posted August 13]

 

office hours: Professor Murdock has regular office hours on Thursdays from 2:00 – 4:00pm in GE 312, which is on the third floor of the Economics Department, 150 St George St. You do not need an appointment. TA Aly, who regularly attends lectures each week to keep abreast of exactly what we’re learning, has regular office hours on Mondays from 3:00 – 4:00pm in GE 040, which is in the basement level of the Economics Department, 150 St George Street. These start right away on September 11th. [posted September 7]

 

new textbook:  We use the brand new 2017 Business Statistics, Third Canadian Edition by Sharpe, De Veaux, Velleman, and Wright (U of T Bookstore and Discount Textbooks). This is its first year (no used copies). The Economics Study Centre will have a copy. Old editions will be inconvenient for you. For MyStatLab (not required) go to https://registration.mypearson.com/ using course ID murdock99404. Also, visit the link named “Readings” in portal. [posted August 13]

 

the data analysis course module (Dacm): Make sure to visit the portal site for the required Data Analysis Course Module (DACM), which is worth 12 percent of your course grade. The DACM Handbook (on that portal site) helps answer questions you may have about this important, and new, course module. [posted September 6]

 

Welcome and schedule:  Welcome to the main course site for ECO220Y1Y (Quantitative Methods in Economics) for L0301, L0401, and L0501 with Prof. Murdock. The syllabus is posted and hardcopies will be distributed in Lecture 1. See the Fall 2017 Schedule. It lists course activities, dates, and reading assignments. It also has direct links to course materials. [updated September 6]

 

DACM Tutorials this friday: Your first DACM tutorial, Module A.1, is on Friday (September 15) and there are some important steps you must take now to prepare. Make sure to prepare before you arrive at your first tutorial: 1) Download the complete DACM handbook. 2) Carefully read pages 1 through 8 of the DACM handbook, which explain what DACM is all about and what you need to do. 3) Read pages 9 through 13, which is Module A.1. In particular, make sure to carefully read the background material for that module on pages 9 through 10. I expect you will also find it useful to at least read through the steps that you will take in the tutorial under "Interactive tutorial materials:" starting on page 10. That will likely make the tutorial easier to keep up with. 4) Download the data files for Module A.1. Make sure to do this BEFORE arriving at your tutorial. The wireless capacity at U of T will not permit the whole class to simultaneously download the data files at the start of tutorial. 5) Install the Analysis ToolPak on your laptop BEFORE arriving at your tutorial. See Section 3 of the DACM Handbook for more on this. 6) Arrive at your DACM tutorial section room EARLY or ONTIME with your laptop (or shared laptop) out, on, and ready to start promptly at 10 minutes after the hour: L0301: Friday (September 15), 9 - 10am, SS 2117; L0401: Friday (September 15), 10 - 11am, SS 2117; L0501: Friday (September 15), 10 - 11am, SS 2135. Please note that on Fridays when you have a DACM tutorial that is the ONLY class activity you have (i.e. you are done after your 50-minute DACM tutorial). During weeks without a DACM tutorial, you can see the course activity by visiting the Fall 2017 schedule. [posted September 11]

 

iclicker, first Lecture: You need an iClicker remote, which is widely available used or new. You may buy a remote, borrow a remote, or share a remote with anyone that is not currently taking ECO220 with Prof. Murdock. You must use an iClicker remote: iClicker REEF is not permitted. To register (or re-register) go to our portal site and follow the link “i>Clicker Registration” on the left tool bar. If your iClicker's remote ID is no longer legible, see me before or after class (we can use my iClicker base station to read your remote’s signal and recover its ID).  Please bring your iClicker remote to Lecture 1, which is on Sept. 12/13 depending on your section. The first lecture is practice. [posted August 13]

 

TA Tutorials start immediately: Our first TA tutorials start right away: Friday, September 8. Times and locations are posted in the Fall 2017 Schedule. Complete the “Prerequisite Review with a Diagnostic Quiz” – especially the diagnostic quiz – before the first TA tutorial. [posted August 13]


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FALL 2017 SCHEDULE:

 

Day, Date

Event

RR (required readings): complete BEFORE class

HW (homework): complete soon AFTER class

Fri, Sept 8

TA tutorials

Introduction to tutorials and prerequisite review

RR: “Prerequisite Review with a Diagnostic Quiz”

Tues/Wed, Sept 12/13

Lecture 1

Course overview, sampling, data & describing categorical data

RR: Chapters 1 – 4; HW: HW 1 (Solutions)

Fri, Sept 15

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Sept 18

Portal Quiz 1 due

Week 1 material (Lecture 1 and HW 1) and including the prerequisite review

Tues/Wed, Sept 19/20

Lecture 2

Histograms, central tendency & variability

RR: Sections 5.1 – 5.6; HW: HW 2 (Solutions)

Fri, Sept 22

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Sept 25

Portal Quiz 2 due

Week 2 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Sept 26/27

Lecture 3

Percentiles, STATA, box plots, standardizing & other transformations

RR: Sections 5.7 – 5.14; HW: HW 3 (Solutions)

Fri, Sept 29

TA Aid Centres

9:10 – 11am in SS 2135; 10:10 – 11am in SS 2117 

Mon, Oct 2

DACM Test A due

 

Tues/Wed, Oct 3/4

Lecture 4

Describing associations, covariance, correlation & causality

RR: Chapter 6 & SW11 (“Readings” in portal); HW: HW 4 (Solutions)

Fri, Oct 6

TEST #1

9:10 – 11am

Mon, Oct 9

Portal Quiz 3/4 due

Weeks 3-4 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Oct 10/11

Lecture 5

Simple regression: OLS, interpretation, ANOVA & R-squared

RR: Sections 7.1 – 7.7, 19.4; HW: HW 5 (Solutions)

Fri, Oct 13

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Oct 16

Portal Quiz 5 due

Week 5 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Oct 17/18

Lecture 6

Logarithms in regression analysis with Asiaphoria & Dummy Variables

RR: “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria, Section 7.8; HW: HW 6 (Solutions)

Fri, Oct 20

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Oct 23

Portal Quiz 6 due

Week 6 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Oct 24/25

Lecture 7

Randomness & probability

RR: Chapter 8; HW: HW 7 (Solutions)

Fri, Oct 27

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Oct 30

Portal Quiz 7 due

 

Tues/Wed, Oct 31/Nov 1

Lecture 8

Random variables & discrete distributions

RR: Sections 9.1 – 9.4, 9.6 (9.5 optional); HW: HW 8 (Solutions)

Fri, Nov 3

TA Aid Centres

9:10 – 11am in SS 2135; 10:10 – 11am in SS 2117

Mon, Nov 6 – Fri, Nov 10

READING WEEK

No classes and no tutorials, but office hours continue as usual

Mon, Nov 13

DACM Test B due

 

Tues/Wed, Nov 14/15

Lecture 9

Continuous distributions [The Normal table]

RR: Sections 9.8 – 9.11, “The Normal Table: Read It, Use It,” (Optional: 9.7, 9.12, “Normal Probability Plots” pp. 280-2); HW: HW 9 (Solutions)

Fri, Nov 17

TEST #2

9:10 – 11am

Mon, Nov 20

Portal Quiz 8/9 due

Weeks 8-9 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Nov 21/22

Lecture 10

Sampling distributions & sampling distribution of P-hat

RR: Sections 10.1 – 10.2; HW: HW 10 (Solutions)

Fri, Nov 24

TA tutorials

Fully-labelled graphs, Normal approximation to Binomial & sampling distribution of P-hat

Mon, Nov 27

Portal Quiz 10 due

Week 10 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Nov 28/29

Lecture 11

Sampling distribution of X-bar & simulation methods

RR: Sections 10.3 – 10.5; HW: HW 11 (Solutions)

Fri, Dec 1

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Dec 4

Portal Quiz 11 due

Week 11 material (cumulative)

Note: This is the last portal quiz due in the Fall term

Tues/Wed, Dec 5/6

Lecture 12

Confidence interval estimation: single proportion & differences between proportions

RR: Chapter 11; HW: HW 12 (Solutions)

Thur, Dec 7 – Thur, Jan 4

BREAK

No classes, no tutorials, and no office hours

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WINTER 2018 SCHEDULE:

 

Day, Date

Event

RR (required readings): complete BEFORE class

HW (homework): complete soon AFTER class

Fri, Jan 5

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Jan 8

Portal Quiz 12 due

Week 12 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Jan 9/10

Lecture 13

Hypothesis testing using a P-value approach

RR: Sections 12.1 – 12.3; HW: HW 13 (Solutions)

Fri, Jan 12

TA Aid Centres

9:10 – 11am in SS 2135; 10:10 – 11am in SS 2117

Mon, Jan 15

DACM Test C due

 

Tues/Wed, Jan 16/17

Lecture 14

Alpha, statistical vs. economic (business) significance, economic (business) significance, rejection region (critical value) approach & comparing proportions

RR: Sections 12.4 – 12.8; HW: HW 14 (Solutions)

Fri, Jan 19

TEST #3

9:10 – 11am

Mon, Jan 22

Portal Quiz 13/14 due

Weeks 13-14 material (cumulative)

Tues/Wed, Jan 23/24

Lecture 15

Type I errors, Type II errors & power

RR: Sections 12.9 – 12.10; HW: HW 15 (Solutions)

Fri, Jan 26

TA tutorials

Hypothesis testing review of rejection region approach and power

Mon, Jan 29

Portal Quiz 15 due

 

Tues/Wed, Jan 30/31

Lecture 16

Inference about mu: estimation & hypothesis testing [The Student t table]

RR: Chapter 13; HW: HW 16 (Solutions)

Fri, Feb 2

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Feb 5

Portal Quiz 16 due

 

Tues/Wed, Feb 6/7

Lecture 17

Inference about the difference between means

RR: Chapter 14; HW: HW 17 (Solutions)

File referenced in HW 17: credit_spending.xlsx

Fri, Feb 9

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Feb 12

Portal Quiz 17 due

 

Tues/Wed, Feb 13/14

Lecture 18

Simple regression model (assumptions)

RR: Sections 18.1 – 18.2, “Logarithms in Regression Analysis with Asiaphoria,” 19.6 – 19.8 (Optional: Discussion of “Normal probability plot” pp. 607-8); HW: HW 18 (Solutions)

File referenced in Lecture 18: ch18_MCSP_Frozen_Pizza.csv

Fri, Feb 16

TA Aid Centres

9:10 – 11am in SS 2135 with TAs Elaine and Ruizhi; 10:10 – 11am in SS 2117 with TAs Louis and Nora;

(Full schedule of TA Aid Centres posted as a portal announcement)

Mon, Feb 19 – Fri, Feb 23

READING WEEK

Bonus Portal Quiz 18 due by noon, Fri. Feb 23

No classes and no tutorials, but office hours continue as usual. The Bonus Portal Quiz 18 will open at noon on Friday, February 16 is due by noon on Friday, February 23 of Reading Week.

Mon, Feb 26

DACM Test D due

 

Tues/Wed, Feb 27/28

Lecture 19

Statistical inference with regression

RR: Sections 18.3 – 18.6, 19.2; HW: HW 19 (Solutions)

Fri, Mar 2

TEST #4

9:10 – 11am

Mon, Mar 5

Portal Quiz 19 due

Tues/Wed, Mar 6/7

Lecture 20

Multiple regression: model & interpretation

RR: Sections 20.1 – 20.3; HW: HW 20 (Solutions)

Fri, Mar 9

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Mar 12

Portal Quiz 20 due

 

Tues/Wed, Mar 13/14

Lecture 21

Interpretation (again), overall statistical significance & fit of a multiple regression model [The F table]

RR: Sections 20.4 – 20.6; HW: HW 21 (Solutions)

Fri, Mar 16

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Mar 19

Portal Quiz 21 due

 

Tues/Wed, Mar 20/21

Lecture 22

Dummy variables & interaction terms

RR: Sections 19.3, 21.1 – 21.3, “Waterloo 2016 Salary Disparities” in Readings folder in portal, (Optional: “Standardized Residuals,” “Influence Measures” pp. 737-9); HW: HW 22 (Solutions)

Fri, Mar 23

DACM TA tutorial

For details, see handbook on DACM portal site

Mon, Mar 26

Portal Quiz 22 due

Note: This is the last portal quiz due in the Winter term

Tues/Wed, Mar 27/28

Lecture 23

Quadratic Terms, Connecting (mu1-mu2) to Regression, and an Economics Paper Illustrating Regression in Action
RR: “Quadratic terms” in Readings folder in portal; HW: HW 23 (Solutions)

Fri, Mar 30

GOOD FRIDAY

University is closed

Mon, Apr 2

DACM Test E due

Tues/Wed, Apr 3/4

Lecture 24

More Regression Applications

(No RR or HW)

Thur, Apr 5

TEST #5 (OPEN MAKE-UP)

9:10 – 11am

Wed, Apr 25

FINAL EXAM

See the Final Exam Bulletin Board

Date, time and location set by A&S: Wednesday, April 25, 9:00am – noon

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OLD TESTS/EXAMS:

 

Academic Year

Term Tests

Final Examination

2017/18

Test #1: Oct 2017 (Solutions)

Test #2: Nov 2017 (Solutions)

Test #3: Jan 2018 (Solutions)

Test #4: Mar 2018 (Solutions)

Test #5: Apr 2018 (Solutions)

See the Final Exam Bulletin Board

 

Exam April 2018 (Solutions)

2016/17

Test #1: Nov 2016 (Solutions)

Test #2: Jan 2017 (Solutions)

Test #3: Feb 2017 (Solutions)

Test #4: Mar 2017 (Solutions)

Exam April 2017 (Solutions)

2015/16

Test #1: Oct 2015 (Solutions)

Test #2: Dec 2015 (Solutions)

Test #3: Feb 2016 (Solutions)

Test #4: Mar 2016 (Solutions)

Test #5: Apr 2016 (Solutions)

Exam April 2016 (Solutions)

Summer 2015

Test #1: June 5, 2015 (Solutions)

Test #2: June 26, 2015 (Solutions)

(I taught only first half of the course and did not coordinate the final exam)

2014/15

Test #1 “One Question”: Oct 2014 (Rubric)

Test #2 “MCQ”: Nov 2014 (Solutions)

Test #3 “Midterm”: Jan 2015 (Solutions)

Test #4 “One Question”: Feb 2015 (Rubric)

Test #5 “MCQ”: Mar 2015 (Solutions)

Exam April 2015 (Solutions)

2013/14

Term Test #1: Nov 2013 (Solutions)

One Question Test #1: Nov 2013 (Rubric)

Term Test #2: Jan 2014 (Solutions)

One Question Test #2: Feb 2014 (Rubric)

Term Test #3: Apr 2014 (Solutions)

Exam April 2014 (Solutions)

Summer 2013

Term Test #1: Jun. 2013 (Solutions)

Midterm Test: Jun. 2013 (Solutions)

(I taught only first half of the course and did not coordinate the final exam)

Winter 2013

Term Test #3: Feb 2013 (Solutions)

Term Test #4: Apr 2013 (Solutions)

Exam April 2013 (Solutions)

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HELP FROM OUR TAs:

 

Event(s)

Starting date and links for details

Regular TA Tutorials

Restart on Friday, January 26: See Winter 2018 Schedule for full schedule and details.

Regular TA Office Hours

Restart on Monday, January 8th at 3:00 – 4:00pm in GE 040 with TA Aly and running through April 2nd. GE 040 is in the basement level of the Economics Department, 150 St George Street.

DACM TA Tutorials

For full schedule and details, see DACM portal site and page 6 of the DACM Handbook; Thomas Russell (DACM Head TA)

Regular TA Aid Centres

See Winter 2018 Schedule. Also, see portal announcements for additional TA Aid Centers before each term test and the final exam.

Our Head TA, who manages the portal quizzes and remark requests for term tests is Elaine Guo (elainexiaoyu.guo@mail.utoronto.ca).

Additional TA Aid Centres (before each test and the final exam) are posted oportal announcements.

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